Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.135155 0.158379 0.183949 0.214128 0.248711 0.287034 0.332651
2025-12-28 0.097329 0.128768 0.167211 0.217370 0.280744 0.357780 0.458095
2026-01-04 0.078298 0.113432 0.159856 0.225001 0.313245 0.427690 0.586241
2026-01-11 0.064871 0.101427 0.152951 0.229706 0.339704 0.489938 0.708501
2026-01-18 0.054437 0.091108 0.145834 0.231734 0.360983 0.545499 0.825289
2026-01-25 0.046048 0.082056 0.138678 0.231858 0.378315 0.595768 0.937743
2026-02-01 0.038835 0.073450 0.130629 0.228976 0.389920 0.637640 1.040355
2026-02-08 0.032884 0.065841 0.122888 0.225175 0.398984 0.675568 1.139128
2026-02-15 0.027283 0.057811 0.113154 0.216507 0.398667 0.697994 1.214541
2026-02-22 0.025497 0.056608 0.115185 0.228256 0.433505 0.779558 1.390797
2026-03-01 0.021694 0.050749 0.107807 0.222047 0.436229 0.807607 1.480334
2026-03-08 0.018359 0.045241 0.100275 0.214481 0.435446 0.829114 1.559744
2026-03-15 0.015694 0.040753 0.094238 0.209251 0.438789 0.858743 1.656822
2026-03-22 0.014185 0.038622 0.092772 0.212972 0.459553 0.921379 1.817447
2026-03-29 0.013162 0.037452 0.093171 0.220514 0.488390 1.000878 2.014084
2026-04-05 0.012036 0.035808 0.092273 0.225139 0.511698 1.071585 2.199168
2026-04-12 0.010866 0.033823 0.090300 0.227131 0.529666 1.133213 2.371118
2026-04-19 0.009729 0.031693 0.087660 0.227253 0.543573 1.187700 2.532692
2026-04-26 0.008574 0.029274 0.083951 0.224423 0.550754 1.229146 2.671367
2026-05-03 0.007524 0.026931 0.080077 0.220689 0.555488 1.265784 2.802670
2026-05-10 0.006405 0.024121 0.074541 0.212178 0.548516 1.277493 2.884146
2026-05-17 0.006216 0.024240 0.076898 0.223715 0.588816 1.391551 3.182694
2026-05-24 0.005393 0.022070 0.072595 0.217618 0.586994 1.415145 3.294189